Forecast from dates, not annual averages
We map expected collections, supplier payments, payroll, debt payments and planned purchases week by week or month by month. A customer deposit receives context: what remains to be delivered, when costs arrive and what cancellation commitments exist. Sales tax and other designated balances need their own visibility.
The forecast is updated against actual receipts and payments. A booking enquiry is less certain than a signed booking, and a promised payment is less certain than cleared funds. We can show these assumptions separately.
Compare a base case with a slower case
A useful second scenario changes an operational driver such as booking volume, payment delay or inventory timing. It should show when cash becomes tight and which decisions are still reversible. This is more helpful than applying one arbitrary percentage to every expense.
Illustrative example: money that must last to spring
A Victoria tour operator has $34,000 available after identified tax and customer commitments. Four quieter months are expected to use $6,000 each, and planned maintenance needs $7,000. The resulting $3,000 cushion is visible before the owner considers another equipment purchase. These are illustrative planning figures, not a recommended reserve.
Choose a response before the low point
The owner can review discretionary spending, collection follow-up, supplier timing or financing discussions while options remain open. We prepare the numbers and assumptions for that conversation. The plan is neither a lending approval nor a guarantee that bookings and costs will follow the forecast.
Questions about this work
How often should a seasonal forecast change?
Weekly during a tight or rapidly changing period may be useful; a steadier business may review monthly.
Can deposits be included?
Yes, alongside the related delivery costs, refund exposure and other commitments so available cash is not overstated.
Put this into practice
A practical next step
Bring the records you have.
We can identify missing information, agree on the scope and organize the next bookkeeping step.
Request a bookkeeping review